2020 Presidential Election thread

posted by gut

and there's the one state that determines this election.....

Michigan?

Nevada won’t have an election update until tomorrow at 9am? We really need some better processes in some states.

Have we finally decided that pollsters are absolute garbage? 

Current results with mail in trends look bad for Trump. 

posted by iclfan2

Nevada won’t have an election update until tomorrow at 9am? We really need some better processes in some states.

Have we finally decided that pollsters are absolute garbage? 

Current results with mail in trends look bad for Trump. 

1.) Probably something to do with 'rona prevention lol

2.) They just need to re-adjust their models to account for fearful voters

3.) Yes.

The percentage reporting seems pointless now that the unaccounted percentages are mail in ballots that overwhelmingly favor one way. 

Both candidates blowing away the popular total. Sure, more people continue to be born and thus vote. But pretty awesome to such a high percentage of Americans actually taking part in the election. Rarely happens, for whatever reason.

If the current leads stand, Biden wins 271-267. 

Biden has become heavy favorite on the betting sites.

posted by wildcats20

If the current leads stand, Biden wins 271-267. 

If it stays that way, it will mean that every state mattered. 

Trump will most likely take this to court unfortunately, which is the exact opposite of what we need as a country.  

If the GOP were smart, they would take their senate hold (along with net gain in the house) and move onto 2022.  It's not a bad consolation prize.  His message resonates with people, and the GOP should just repackage it with a more polished delivery.  

posted by like_that

Trump will most likely take this to court unfortunately, which is the exact opposite of what we need as a country.  

If the GOP were smart, they would take their senate hold (along with net gain in the house) and move onto 2022.  It's not a bad consolation prize.  His message resonates with people, and the GOP should just repackage it with a more polished delivery.  

Agreed. Besides Biden eking out the closest of wins, the GOP actually had a pretty damn good night top to bottom across the country. 

Not at all important, but I found it interesting that while I was watching there was no mention of the nationwide popular vote with Trump being ahead at the time. It was a very popular factiod that they showed every few minutes in 2016 with Hillary ahead.

posted by queencitybuckeye

Not at all important, but I found it interesting that while I was watching there was no mention of the nationwide popular vote with Trump being ahead at the time. It was a very popular factiod that they showed every few minutes in 2016 with Hillary ahead.

CNN talked about it a ton. Well, John King did. When Trunp was leading and after California came in and gave Biden the lead. And every-time ended it with “But, that isn’t how we elect our president” lol.

Going to be difficult for Trump to win given the numbers and the few counties involved.  We are at a place this is not unexpected.

posted by fish82

Agreed. Besides Biden eking out the closest of wins, the GOP actually had a pretty damn good night top to bottom across the country. 

Yep.

posted by QuakerOats

Going to be difficult for Trump to win given the numbers and the few counties involved.  We are at a place this is not unexpected.

Not so fast. I think there's a good chance Fox screwed the pooch on their early call for Biden in AZ. Heard this morning all of the votes hadn't been counted and they were all coming back 2:1 in favor of Trump. If Trump gets those 11 EC votes and holds onto PA, GA & NC that should give him the win.

Trump can also win by hanging on to NC, GA, and PA, and then adding Nevada, which would land him right on the number:  270.

Heads would explode ...........all over again

Doubt it.

20-30k votes each in 3 states could be the difference.

Easy to talk yourself out of the EC, but that's not actually what the difference was because all those other states narrowly went for one or the other, too.

Other than the polls being horribly wrong again (seriously, does anyone other Trafalgar even try to be right?), it was largely an incredibly unsurprising night.

If the results hold up, AR flipped (seemed a certainty at least one red-leaning state would go to Biden) and looks like Trump maybe did carry PA.  Which the polling was a lot tighter there, but MI and WI ended-up being surprisingly close.

And Nevada still looks in play - if Trump takes NV and PA he has 270 (assuming GA and NC hold up).

Pretty sure if Biden had gotten out of the basement more he would have won PA and NC and we'd know he's our next POTUS already.

posted by Verbal Kint

Michigan?

AR....just enough to make-up for PA for Biden.