LSU beat Western Kentucky tonight by 11. Nothing big, but WKU has a very good team and has done damage in the NCAA's the last 2 years. I expect them to be back this year.
LSU still has Tasmin Mitchell, and both Bo Spencer and Storm Warren are good players. They lost a LOT from a veteran team, and they will likely finish outside of the NCAA picture. However, Trent Johnson is a very good coach and LSU will continue to be solid.
Florida is probably the toughest team to pick. It's between them and South Carolina for 4th in the East and likely the 6th NCAA spot for the conference. Right now I'd give the edge to Florida if their big guys continue to develop. Tyus is a beast inside, and both Macklin and Kadji give them legit centers. South Carolina has the advantage in the backcourt, but with Walker/Boynton/Parsons and company, Florida COULD make some noise.
Here's a short preview of how I see it. I may do a more in-depth one as the season unfolds and I get bored just watching games
SEC Overall
1. Kentucky***
2. Tennessee***
3. Vanderbilt***
4. Mississippi State*** (could be higher if those guys get eligible)
5. Mississippi***
6. Florida**
7. South Carolina**
8. Arkansas**
9. LSU*
10. Alabama*
11. Auburn
12. Georgia
***NCAA Team
**Possible NCAA Team/NIT Team
*Possible Post-season Team
You may have seen me reference it all year, but the team I REALLY like is Vanderbilt. They are flying under the radar, but they have all the pieces in place, a GREAT homecourt advantage and a very quality coach. Tennessee and Kentucky will get all the headlines, but don't be surprised if Vandy is sitting with 10+ SEC wins when March comes around.
As for the SEC West, I think it's a mess right now and definitely could go in many directions. If MSU is at 100%, they are the clear favorites. If not, we might have another situation where the winner of the West wins 10 and things are really bunched up. Ole Miss and MSU should fight for the top spot, but LSU and Alabama are capable of winning against anyone, especially at home. Arkansas is a wild card team. If Fortson and Welsh are back, and Michael Sanchez can get healthy, the Hogs have the talent to make the NCAA's. They also could falter like a year ago and finish at the very bottom.
Bottom line for the SEC is that the East is going to be very strong. You might possibly have the top 5 in the conference in the East. The West has issues, most notably with Arkansas and Mississippi State. Lots of upside there, but too many ifs to make any bold predictions right now.
I will say that it's going to be a good year for the league, better than it has been for a little while, but like anything, it will take time for the national respect to return.