justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Jan 12, 2010 11:07pm
WhatIfSports.comThe inputs to the 10,001 simulations of each upcoming game are based on a rigorous analysis of each team that considers strength-of-schedule-adjusted team and player ratings and then makes modifications for injuries and depth at each position.
<table class="btb_info">
<tr class="toprow"><th colspan="4"><div class="main_head"><span class="titleleft"></span><span class="title">NFL Divisional Playoffs</span><span class="titleright"></span></span></th></tr>
<tr class="lowrow"><th>Matchup</th><th class="text_center">Win%</th><th class="text_center">Avg Score</th><th class="text_center"></th></tr>
<tr class="even"><td>Arizona Cardinals</td><td class="text_center">16.1</td><td class="text_center">20</td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=20100116018">Boxscore</a></td></tr>
<tr class="even" style="border-bottom: 1px solid #747474"><td> @ <strong>New Orleans Saints</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>83.9</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>36</strong></td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/nfl/default.asp?hSeason=2009&hTeam=New Orleans Saints&vSeason=2009&vTeam=Arizona Cardinals">Simulate Game</a></td></tr>
<tr class="odd"><td><strong>Dallas Cowboys</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>52.9</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>26</strong></td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=20100117016">Boxscore</a></td></tr>
<tr class="odd" style="border-bottom: 1px solid #747474"><td> @ Minnesota Vikings</td><td class="text_center">47.1</td><td class="text_center">25</td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/nfl/default.asp?hSeason=2009&hTeam=Minnesota Vikings&vSeason=2009&vTeam=Dallas Cowboys">Simulate Game</a></td></tr>
<tr class="even"><td><strong>Baltimore Ravens</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>58.2</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>23</strong></td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=20100116011">Boxscore</a></td></tr>
<tr class="even" style="border-bottom: 1px solid #747474"><td> @ Indianapolis Colts</td><td class="text_center">41.8</td><td class="text_center">22</td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/nfl/default.asp?hSeason=2009&hTeam=Indianapolis Colts&vSeason=2009&vTeam=Baltimore Ravens">Simulate Game</a></td></tr>
<tr class="odd"><td><strong>New York Jets</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>70.3</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>24</strong></td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=20100117024">Boxscore</a></td></tr>
<tr class="odd" style="border-bottom: 1px solid #747474"><td> @ San Diego Chargers</td><td class="text_center">29.7</td><td class="text_center">19</td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/nfl/default.asp?hSeason=2009&hTeam=San Diego Chargers&vSeason=2009&vTeam=New York Jets">Simulate Game</a></td></tr>
</table>
They picked 3/4 last week (missed GB/Ari).
M
mhs95_06
Posts: 8,167
Jan 12, 2010 11:20pm
How close did they say last week the GB/Ariz game was going to be?
justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Jan 12, 2010 11:40pm
26-22 Green Bay with Green Bay winning 65.2% of the time.
justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Jan 12, 2010 11:41pm
<table class="btb_info">
<tr class="toprow"><th colspan="4"><div class="main_head"><span class="titleleft"></span><span class="title">NFL Wild Card Week</span><span class="titleright"></span></span></th></tr>
<tr class="lowrow"><th>Matchup</th><th class="text_center">Win%</th><th class="text_center">Avg Score</th><th class="text_center"></th></tr>
<tr class="even"><td>Philadelphia Eagles</td><td class="text_center">37.0</td><td class="text_center">17</td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=20100109006">Boxscore</a></td></tr>
<tr class="even" style="border-bottom: 1px solid #747474"><td> @ <strong>Dallas Cowboys</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>63.0</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>23</strong></td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/nfl/default.asp?hSeason=2009&hTeam=Dallas Cowboys&vSeason=2009&vTeam=Philadelphia Eagles">Simulate Game</a></td></tr>
<tr class="odd"><td><strong>Baltimore Ravens</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>59.1</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>23</strong></td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=20100110017">Boxscore</a></td></tr>
<tr class="odd" style="border-bottom: 1px solid #747474"><td> @ New England Patriots</td><td class="text_center">40.9</td><td class="text_center">21</td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/nfl/default.asp?hSeason=2009&hTeam=New England Patriots&vSeason=2009&vTeam=Baltimore Ravens">Simulate Game</a></td></tr>
<tr class="even"><td><strong>Green Bay Packers</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>65.2</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>26</strong></td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=20100110022">Boxscore</a></td></tr>
<tr class="even" style="border-bottom: 1px solid #747474"><td> @ Arizona Cardinals</td><td class="text_center">34.8</td><td class="text_center">22</td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/nfl/default.asp?hSeason=2009&hTeam=Arizona Cardinals&vSeason=2009&vTeam=Green Bay Packers">Simulate Game</a></td></tr>
<tr class="odd"><td><strong>New York Jets</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>68.0</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>18</strong></td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=20100109004">Boxscore</a></td></tr>
<tr class="odd" style="border-bottom: 1px solid #747474"><td> @ Cincinnati Bengals</td><td class="text_center">32.0</td><td class="text_center">14</td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/nfl/default.asp?hSeason=2009&hTeam=Cincinnati Bengals&vSeason=2009&vTeam=New York Jets">Simulate Game</a></td></tr>
</table>
<tr class="toprow"><th colspan="4"><div class="main_head"><span class="titleleft"></span><span class="title">NFL Wild Card Week</span><span class="titleright"></span></span></th></tr>
<tr class="lowrow"><th>Matchup</th><th class="text_center">Win%</th><th class="text_center">Avg Score</th><th class="text_center"></th></tr>
<tr class="even"><td>Philadelphia Eagles</td><td class="text_center">37.0</td><td class="text_center">17</td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=20100109006">Boxscore</a></td></tr>
<tr class="even" style="border-bottom: 1px solid #747474"><td> @ <strong>Dallas Cowboys</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>63.0</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>23</strong></td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/nfl/default.asp?hSeason=2009&hTeam=Dallas Cowboys&vSeason=2009&vTeam=Philadelphia Eagles">Simulate Game</a></td></tr>
<tr class="odd"><td><strong>Baltimore Ravens</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>59.1</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>23</strong></td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=20100110017">Boxscore</a></td></tr>
<tr class="odd" style="border-bottom: 1px solid #747474"><td> @ New England Patriots</td><td class="text_center">40.9</td><td class="text_center">21</td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/nfl/default.asp?hSeason=2009&hTeam=New England Patriots&vSeason=2009&vTeam=Baltimore Ravens">Simulate Game</a></td></tr>
<tr class="even"><td><strong>Green Bay Packers</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>65.2</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>26</strong></td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=20100110022">Boxscore</a></td></tr>
<tr class="even" style="border-bottom: 1px solid #747474"><td> @ Arizona Cardinals</td><td class="text_center">34.8</td><td class="text_center">22</td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/nfl/default.asp?hSeason=2009&hTeam=Arizona Cardinals&vSeason=2009&vTeam=Green Bay Packers">Simulate Game</a></td></tr>
<tr class="odd"><td><strong>New York Jets</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>68.0</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>18</strong></td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=20100109004">Boxscore</a></td></tr>
<tr class="odd" style="border-bottom: 1px solid #747474"><td> @ Cincinnati Bengals</td><td class="text_center">32.0</td><td class="text_center">14</td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/nfl/default.asp?hSeason=2009&hTeam=Cincinnati Bengals&vSeason=2009&vTeam=New York Jets">Simulate Game</a></td></tr>
</table>
I
icskins
Posts: 174
Jan 12, 2010 11:43pm
It does seem that they favor close games. Have you looked at them through the year? Have they predicted any blowouts?
justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Jan 12, 2010 11:45pm
Overall Performance (through 1/11/10)icskins wrote: It does seem that they favor close games. Have you looked at them through the year? Have they predicted any blowouts?
Overall Winning Percentage: 69.9%
Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 58.1%*
Game of the Week: 13-4
ATS Lock of the Week: 12-5
Upset of the Week: 7-10
NOTE: Overall performance does NOT include playoffs performance
http://whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=2009NFLSEASON
hoops23
Posts: 15,696
Jan 13, 2010 2:39am
Whatifsports is pretty accurate when it comes to predicting a winner...
I think they had a 5 or 6 year run at picking the Super Bowl winner..
They also have some pretty sweet games.
I think they had a 5 or 6 year run at picking the Super Bowl winner..
They also have some pretty sweet games.
G
gut
Posts: 15,058
Jan 13, 2010 6:28am
I can't believe NO wins 80%+ and ARI only averages 20.
And I really can't see NYJ beating SD. Sanchez won't be able to put together 2 good playoff games, I don't think.
Don't disagree with the BAL prediction at all. Just surprised it'd pick them (and significantly at 58%) over a team that could have probably gone undefeated.
And I really can't see NYJ beating SD. Sanchez won't be able to put together 2 good playoff games, I don't think.
Don't disagree with the BAL prediction at all. Just surprised it'd pick them (and significantly at 58%) over a team that could have probably gone undefeated.
justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Jan 13, 2010 8:57am
Jets shouldn't need to rely on Sanchez too much in this game. He'll probably only get 10-15 attempts as I don't see San Diego stopping the Jets running game. If San Diego jumps out to a big lead the Jets are likely screwed, but if they can keep it close and control the clock I like their chances.
Ironman92
Posts: 49,363
Jan 13, 2010 10:27pm
Did they factor in the NFL loving Manning?
G
gut
Posts: 15,058
Jan 13, 2010 11:04pm
Yeah, but if he isn't effective in those 15 or so attempts, it's going to be tough to put points on the board and SD WILL put points on the board.justincredible wrote: Jets shouldn't need to rely on Sanchez too much in this game. He'll probably only get 10-15 attempts as I don't see San Diego stopping the Jets running game. If San Diego jumps out to a big lead the Jets are likely screwed, but if they can keep it close and control the clock I like their chances.
Steeler fans know a one-dimensional ground game does not get it done without efficient passing.
justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Jan 19, 2010 5:01pm
<table class="btb_info">
<tr class="toprow"><th colspan="4"><div class="main_head"><span class="titleleft"></span><span class="title">NFL Conference Championships</span><span class="titleright"></span></span></th></tr>
<tr class="lowrow"><th>Matchup</th><th class="text_center">Win%</th><th class="text_center">Avg Score</th><th class="text_center"></th></tr>
<tr class="even"><td>Minnesota Vikings</td><td class="text_center">45.8</td><td class="text_center">26</td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=20100124018">Boxscore</a></td></tr>
<tr class="even" style="border-bottom: 1px solid #747474"><td> @ <strong>New Orleans Saints</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>54.2</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>29</strong></td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/nfl/default.asp?hSeason=2009&hTeam=New Orleans Saints&vSeason=2009&vTeam=Minnesota Vikings">Simulate Game</a></td></tr>
<tr class="odd"><td><strong>New York Jets</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>52.9</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>22</strong></td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=20100124011">Boxscore</a></td></tr>
<tr class="odd" style="border-bottom: 1px solid #747474"><td> @ Indianapolis Colts</td><td class="text_center">47.1</td><td class="text_center">21</td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/nfl/default.asp?hSeason=2009&hTeam=Indianapolis Colts&vSeason=2009&vTeam=New York Jets">Simulate Game</a></td></tr>
</table>
<tr class="toprow"><th colspan="4"><div class="main_head"><span class="titleleft"></span><span class="title">NFL Conference Championships</span><span class="titleright"></span></span></th></tr>
<tr class="lowrow"><th>Matchup</th><th class="text_center">Win%</th><th class="text_center">Avg Score</th><th class="text_center"></th></tr>
<tr class="even"><td>Minnesota Vikings</td><td class="text_center">45.8</td><td class="text_center">26</td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=20100124018">Boxscore</a></td></tr>
<tr class="even" style="border-bottom: 1px solid #747474"><td> @ <strong>New Orleans Saints</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>54.2</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>29</strong></td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/nfl/default.asp?hSeason=2009&hTeam=New Orleans Saints&vSeason=2009&vTeam=Minnesota Vikings">Simulate Game</a></td></tr>
<tr class="odd"><td><strong>New York Jets</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>52.9</strong></td><td class="text_center"><strong>22</strong></td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=20100124011">Boxscore</a></td></tr>
<tr class="odd" style="border-bottom: 1px solid #747474"><td> @ Indianapolis Colts</td><td class="text_center">47.1</td><td class="text_center">21</td><td><a target="_blank" href="http://www.whatifsports.com/nfl/default.asp?hSeason=2009&hTeam=Indianapolis Colts&vSeason=2009&vTeam=New York Jets">Simulate Game</a></td></tr>
</table>
justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Jan 19, 2010 5:01pm
The Jets/Saints SB that the computers predicted when the playoffs started is still alive.
MrPoke
Posts: 348
Jan 19, 2010 11:39pm
I'll bet on a Vikings/Colts matchup.
justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Jan 19, 2010 11:44pm
I'll bet you three...no, four dollars.MrPoke wrote: I'll bet on a Vikings/Colts matchup.
Laley23
Posts: 29,506
Jan 19, 2010 11:54pm
Guys should bet 12 dollars. Then the winner can get out of this shit site and go pay for a good, not so poorly run site.justincredible wrote:I'll bet you three...no, four dollars.MrPoke wrote: I'll bet on a Vikings/Colts matchup.
justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Jan 20, 2010 8:42am
You shut up, you!Laley23 wrote:Guys should bet 12 dollars. Then the winner can get out of this shit site and go pay for a good, not so poorly run site.justincredible wrote:I'll bet you three...no, four dollars.MrPoke wrote: I'll bet on a Vikings/Colts matchup.
MrPoke
Posts: 348
Jan 20, 2010 1:41pm
$13 dollars, then I can pay JJ and buy 100 sour patch kids.justincredible wrote:I'll bet you three...no, four dollars.MrPoke wrote: I'll bet on a Vikings/Colts matchup.
justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Jan 20, 2010 1:49pm
Scratch that bet. I'll just take the money and buy myself 1300 swedish fish.MrPoke wrote:$13 dollars, then I can pay JJ and buy 100 sour patch kids.justincredible wrote:I'll bet you three...no, four dollars.MrPoke wrote: I'll bet on a Vikings/Colts matchup.