BoatShoes;1382440 wrote:I agree that drug prohibition has been very ineffective in large part. However, it is not a one to one with large scale, country-wide gun prohibition. What you say seems intuitive to me but there is evidence that gun control can be pretty effective. I'm not sure what the underlying reasons are for why that is.
Actually, I have seen too many instances (the UK and Australia being the two that come to mine) in which the differences in population densities, nevermind the cultural differences, have actually played into the notion that banning firearms has not helped. As such, while I'm open to any additional examples, I'd be somewhat skeptical it would be, in any way, effective, based on this.
BoatShoes;1382440 wrote:Maybe it's because the dopamine released into the nucleus accumbens is far greater when a human uses drugs as opposed to when one uses a firearm?
To be sure, the ultimate end-user consumption is a different experience, and that can indeed be a reason. Consider a drug addict versus a gun enthusiast. The latter needs only buy one, technically, in order to use it for years. The former must buy very regularly over the same amount of time. The guns aren't consumable in the same way.
Something I think might end up being an unintended consequence of an all-out ban would be that the average gun owner (whether the number shrinks or not) will have an arsenal that would be considered, by most standards, to be MORE dangerous than the average gun owner today.
Here's why I think that to be the case: There are plenty of gun owners who are currently happy to abide by the laws in place. They don't see a reason to take on the risks associated with owning illegal property, because the legal versions are enough to satisfy their felt need for safety.
Now, put ALL firearms on the same legal plane.
You've essentially eliminated the one reason why a person with the means to do so might choose a couple semi-automatic (which most guns are, for what it's worth) Glocks instead of a pair of fully-automatic MAC-10s.
As I've stated before, while I feel reasonably safe with my own six-shell 12-gauge, in the event of an armed robbery of my home, I would like to have AT LEAST as effective a weapon as the intruders. Now, my desire is deterred, because I'd prefer to obey the law, because currently, it allows me the ability to protect my family with a weapon that I think is acceptable.
However, if you remove the legality of my 12-gauge, you've removed the reason I "settle" for a gun that just meets my need. If all are illegal, why might I not just prepare for the worst, and get a couple AA-12s or modified Saiga 12Ks (full-auto 12-gauge shotguns)? I really have no reason not to.
BoatShoes;1382458 wrote:As I want to make clear...U.S. culture is unique so nothing is a one-to-one example....
This is why I do have to at least respect that you are trying to have an honest discussion here, and it's why at least I think it's one worthy of engagement. You certainly seem to be approaching it from a genuinely honest and thoughtful perspective. While we may not agree even at all, I can at least appreciate that.
BoatShoes;1382458 wrote:We can still look at other free countries and not see a devolution into tyranny or drastic amounts of crime. Everyone is going to say "Japan is different dar" but a country that built an empire on merciless slaughter has eliminated gun violence and eliminated private gun ownership for the most part and they are still radically free and seem to be under no immediate threat of tyranny or only bad japanese people imposing mass coercion with guns.
Well, let's be honest. They haven't eliminated private gun ownership. They've just eliminated LEGAL private gun ownership.
Too, I don't think we have a long enough frame of reference to say whether or not it can be done at all, let alone whether or not any country can do it. Remember, anarchy has been tested to be effective over short periods of time.
And too, one must remember that tyranny doesn't, by definition, restrict felt rights. If a dictator, who achieved power through military conquest for example, stated that it was acceptable for people to have a multitude of freedoms, it is still tyranny, because that figurehead has the power to remove those freedoms at his whim.
So, I suppose this might be the question: Whether or not you trust the US government as it currently exists, as well as it's immediate future, can you say that you trust it to such a degree that you believe it might never take advantage of an unarmed populace?
While I don't think Obama is going to crown himself king the day after the guns are (theoretically) rounded up, I can't say I trust the distant future government of the US to not abuse the fact that it has a (again, theoretically) defenseless populace.
BoatShoes;1382458 wrote:So it seems they've given up guns at almost no objective cost except the subjective pleasure/value one gets from private gun ownership.
And this is, I think, where the cultural differences come into play. If a gun owner owns a gun for the fun of it, then perhaps he wouldn't care. I would compare that to the original Four Loko. When it contained the original ingredients, people drank it. When it was banned in Ohio, some Ohioans were bummed, but it didn't go beyond that. Their behavior indicates that they viewed it as a convenience, rather than a necessity for the security and peace of mind of their homes.
If people in Japan were treating gun ownership like Ohioans treated Four Loko consumption, then I completely understand their willingness to give it up freely.
BoatShoes;1382482 wrote:Well, it hasn't really happened elsewhere. I'm not sure why. My guess is that when it comes down to it guns are really a very discretionary item. Booze/drugs/cigs...although we might say they're discretionry and not a basic need....an awful lot people gotta get their high in some fashion. Firing a gun or having it in a safe or next to your bed probably doesn't fulfill that same kind of need or want.
Eh, not the same kind, no, though I'd say it might be just as intense. Again, though, I go back to the fact that you only really have to buy a single gun one time to be a gun owner. To be a drug user ... drugs being a consumable item, you're going to be buying frequently.
Guns are likely to be a bigger-ticket item if illegal, though, so from a business standpoint, I think it will easily still be worth it. As for why it hasn't happened elsewhere, I'd contend that it likely has more than is reported ... which is kind of by design, I would imagine.
BoatShoes;1382482 wrote:When it comes down it people in large part aren't that afraid of being robbed or the Obama drone invasion...so I think maybe the discretionary nature of guns could contribute to that.
In some places, maybe that's true. Personally, living where I do, I am rather attentive to noises in the house. Three people within 2 houses of mine have been robbed in the last four years, the latest of which was our next-door neighbor on Saturday evening. It happens, and in some places, it happens more frequently than others.
BoatShoes;1382482 wrote:Would there be a super-huge black market motorcycle manufacturing industry if motorcycles were outlawed? Maybe...but not to the level of drugs, if I were to guess.
Motorcycles are probably different because their benefit is pretty difficult to hide. The benefit of a gun is not using it, but having it in case you are in a situation in which using it helps you, and since they're easier to hide than motorcycles (even weapons like RPGs). You can't necessarily see a drive-by shooting coming a mile away, because guns are easily to conceal.
If we were to compare it to a recreational item, I'd suggest comparing it to embargo cigars. Cuban cigars are illegal to import, and yet, who doesn't know someone they could probably contact to get one? Heck, I know businesses who have them for sale if you know how to ask for them, nevermind people.
Have I partaken of goods illegally brought to the US? I absolutely have, even though it's merely an inconvenience not to have them.
BoatShoes;1382482 wrote:You might also curb it by regulating bullets as well.
Ammunition is remarkably easy to make, believe it or not. I doubt that would effectively curb anything. I have a friend who, in order to save money, does make his own ammunition (same guy who showed me the shovel AR-15). It's apparently very easy, and even cheaper than buying it.