Ugh Scenario

College Sports 17 replies 395 views
Ironman92's avatar
Ironman92
Posts: 49,363
Nov 3, 2012 8:27pm
USC is key in all this but LSU plays gangbusters at home and beats Bama by 3.

USC at home outscores Oregon (looking to be the problem with all this)...then beat ND at home.

K State gets knocked off

2013 BCS Championship Game

LSU vs Alabama
wildcats20's avatar
wildcats20
Posts: 27,794
Nov 3, 2012 8:30pm
It won't happen.

Even if everything you said happens, it won't happen again.
Azubuike24's avatar
Azubuike24
Posts: 15,933
Nov 3, 2012 9:04pm
Georgia is in great shape, IMO. They should win out. Depending how the other chips fall, they will likely get a shot at the BCS Title Game in the SEC Championship Game.

Obviously, K-State, Notre Dame and Oregon play a big role in this as well. However, in-theory, there are only 8 teams who are eligible for the national title game.

Alabama
Oregon
Kansas State
Notre Dame
LSU
Georgia
Florida
Florida State

All varying odds obviously.
Mulva's avatar
Mulva
Posts: 13,650
Nov 3, 2012 9:38pm
I don't think Florida State has any chance at all. They will be the last ranked 1 loss team (that isn't Big East, MAC, etc)

Bama isn't going to lose to LSU anyway, so it's moot.

Edit: TD Bama as I type.
Azubuike24's avatar
Azubuike24
Posts: 15,933
Nov 3, 2012 9:50pm
Obviously the odds for the bottom 2 are probably 1% or less. But they still have chances, in the craziest scenario. No other team has ANY chance, 0%.

LSU is gone after tonight.
FSU/FLA play each other, so they are gone.
ALA/UGA play each other, so one of them is gone.
Azubuike24's avatar
Azubuike24
Posts: 15,933
Nov 3, 2012 9:52pm
Now that we have a playoff coming, I'd actually like to see a clear cut top 2 playing for the title. Even if it's not an SEC team. Kansas State vs Oregon would be a fantastic game.
Ironman92's avatar
Ironman92
Posts: 49,363
Nov 3, 2012 10:02pm
Azubuike24;1311696 wrote:Obviously the odds for the bottom 2 are probably 1% or less. But they still have chances, in the craziest scenario. No other team has ANY chance, 0%.

LSU is gone after tonight.
FSU/FLA play each other, so they are gone.
ALA/UGA play each other, so one of them is gone.

Not sure Alabama winning say 24-6 at LSU then losing a tight one to Georgia would knock them out.
Azubuike24's avatar
Azubuike24
Posts: 15,933
Nov 3, 2012 10:10pm
They would probably be the top 1-loss team, but would also be coming off a loss to Georgia, who would also be 12-1. That would hurt them.

Kansas State and Oregon are legit though, and would run the table in the 2nd and 3rd best conference this year. No way a 1-loss team, regardless of whether that's a 1-loss SEC winner, gets in over them.
Ironman92's avatar
Ironman92
Posts: 49,363
Nov 17, 2012 11:30pm
Lol....

USC and Georgia can still keep it from happening
Mulva's avatar
Mulva
Posts: 13,650
Nov 17, 2012 11:32pm
Ironman92;1323052 wrote:Lol....

USC and Georgia can still keep it from happening
LSU has 2 losses. There is literally a 0% chance of this happening.

Unless that was in regards to Azu's post. Too many beers to figure it out.
Azubuike24's avatar
Azubuike24
Posts: 15,933
Nov 17, 2012 11:42pm
An Alabama/Florida game would NOT be that bad.

First off, the teams did not play this year. It wouldn't be a rematch like many didn't want to see last year. It would also have some intrigue...as it would be a battle for the first program to win 3 BCS Titles.
Ironman92's avatar
Ironman92
Posts: 49,363
Nov 17, 2012 11:42pm
Mulva;1323056 wrote:LSU has 2 losses. There is literally a 0% chance of this happening.

Unless that was in regards to Azu's post. Too many beers to figure it out.
Lol....big derp

The SEC's speed is confusing me!!!
Mulva's avatar
Mulva
Posts: 13,650
Nov 17, 2012 11:43pm
Azubuike24;1323070 wrote:An Alabama/Florida game would NOT be that bad.

First off, the teams did not play this year. It wouldn't be a rematch like many didn't want to see last year. It would also have some intrigue...as it would be a battle for the first program to win 3 BCS Titles.
That would be an awful game because Florida is garbage. I honestly don't think they're even a top 10 team.
F
Footwedge
Posts: 9,265
Nov 17, 2012 11:52pm
Azubuike24;1323070 wrote:An Alabama/Florida game would NOT be that bad.

First off, the teams did not play this year. It wouldn't be a rematch like many didn't want to see last year. It would also have some intrigue...as it would be a battle for the first program to win 3 BCS Titles.
Florida should not even be ranked. Kent State would kick their arse.
Azubuike24's avatar
Azubuike24
Posts: 15,933
Nov 18, 2012 12:02am
Footwedge;1323082 wrote:Florida should not even be ranked. Kent State would kick their arse.
Kent State lost by 33 to the worst SEC team in a while...
Speedofsand's avatar
Speedofsand
Posts: 5,529
Nov 18, 2012 12:05am
Mulva;1323074 wrote:That would be an awful game because Florida is garbage. I honestly don't think they're even a top 10 team.
Footwedge;1323082 wrote:Florida should not even be ranked. Kent State would kick their arse.
I have to keep reminding those here, Florida has 3 wins over top 10 teams this year. Nobody else does. If they beat Felony St next week it'll be 4. Their defense makes them a top 10 team. Next week will be difficult to win, I admit. We'll know Sat.
Terry_Tate's avatar
Terry_Tate
Posts: 7,606
Nov 18, 2012 12:06am
Azubuike24;1323090 wrote:Kent State lost by 33 to the worst SEC team in a while...

That might be the biggest WTF? Game in years. I'd think Kent State would be at least a 17 point favorite if they played today.
Azubuike24's avatar
Azubuike24
Posts: 15,933
Nov 18, 2012 12:09am
I agree. I've brought it up every week. Kent State keeps rolling...and might go 13-1. Kentucky continues to get clobbered...fires their coach...and might go 2-10. It's crazy.