Azubuike24
Posts: 15,933
Mar 11, 2012 10:06pm
Just browsing some first round spreads and a few surprised me. Based on opening lines...
Iowa State -1.5 over Connecticut (not a lot of respect to UConn)
Murray State -2.5 over Colorado State (I think Murray is a bit undervalued here)
Xavier +3 vs Notre Dame (Hard to go against X getting 3)
Belmont +7 vs Georgetown (Not liking G-Town having to win by that margin)
St. Mary's +1 vs Purdue (Definitely like SMC here)
Other thoughts?
If people have pools they are doing I figured they can post them here too.
Iowa State -1.5 over Connecticut (not a lot of respect to UConn)
Murray State -2.5 over Colorado State (I think Murray is a bit undervalued here)
Xavier +3 vs Notre Dame (Hard to go against X getting 3)
Belmont +7 vs Georgetown (Not liking G-Town having to win by that margin)
St. Mary's +1 vs Purdue (Definitely like SMC here)
Other thoughts?
If people have pools they are doing I figured they can post them here too.
Mulva
Posts: 13,650
Mar 11, 2012 10:12pm
I completely agree on Murray State and St. Mary's. I don't actually think the Racers are that good, but Colorado State is brutal away from home.
I like Iona at +2 in the play-in against BYU, and Cal -3 over South Florida.
I'm seeing UConn at -2 over Iowa State and Georgetown only -3 over Belmont (Bookmaker and Legends). Not sure whether the lines have already changed that quickly.
I like Iona at +2 in the play-in against BYU, and Cal -3 over South Florida.
I'm seeing UConn at -2 over Iowa State and Georgetown only -3 over Belmont (Bookmaker and Legends). Not sure whether the lines have already changed that quickly.
Azubuike24
Posts: 15,933
Mar 11, 2012 10:26pm
That was the first line I saw on ISU. We'll see what comes out tomorrow...it doesn't look right just based on the numbers.
gorocks99
Posts: 10,760
Mar 12, 2012 1:45pm
Kenpom.com has his log5 analysis up, for those interested: http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/ncaa_tourney_log5/
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Manhattan Buckeye
Posts: 7,566
Mar 12, 2012 1:47pm
Has Notre Dame done anything in the tournament for years? I'm surprised Xavier isn't favored.
reclegend22
Posts: 8,772
Mar 12, 2012 2:07pm
I think Derwin Kitchen of Florida State is still hitting jump shots on Notre Dame. The Seminoles are up by like 13,000 now.Manhattan Buckeye;1113721 wrote:Has Notre Dame done anything in the tournament for years? I'm surprised Xavier isn't favored.
To answer your question, though, 2003 was the last time Notre Dame played into the second week of the NCAAs.
Cleveland Buck
Posts: 5,126
Mar 12, 2012 3:01pm
1. Kentucky 19.5% 1 in 5gorocks99;1113719 wrote:Kenpom.com has his log5 analysis up, for those interested: http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/ncaa_tourney_log5/
2. Ohio State 18.7% 1 in 5
3. Michigan State 12.2% 1 in 8
4. North Carolina 9.3% 1 in 11
5. Kansas 8.6% 1 in 12
6. Missouri 5.2% 1 in 19
7. Syracuse 4.3% 1 in 23
8. Wisconsin 4.0% 1 in 25
9. Wichita State 2.5% 1 in 40
10. Indiana 1.7% 1 in 60
ytownfootball
Posts: 6,978
Mar 12, 2012 3:35pm
Yeah saw that UK is at 5-2 and Ohio State is at 6-1. The Vegas love for Ohio State really surprised me.
http://content.usatoday.com/communities/campusrivalry/post/2012/03/kentucky-ncaa-title-jeff-sagarin-simulation/1#.T15UDnmwctB
http://content.usatoday.com/communities/campusrivalry/post/2012/03/kentucky-ncaa-title-jeff-sagarin-simulation/1#.T15UDnmwctB
gorocks99
Posts: 10,760
Mar 12, 2012 3:37pm
It's interesting that Memphis has the third best odds of winning out of the West, while Belmont (the computers love the Bruins) are 5th best in the Midwest. Struggling on picking the Bruins over G'town though .. got burned on them last year when I picked them over Wisconsin.
Iliketurtles
Posts: 8,191
Mar 12, 2012 7:20pm
Belmont is down to a +4 already lol. Xavier is down to a +2.5 as well.
I put a lot of money on Murray State at -4 and Creighton at +1.5 I also put some money on the playin games and FSU at -7 and Loyola Maryland at +17.5. Also got 5 bucks on Murray State and Florida State to win it all just cause I really liked their odds.
I put a lot of money on Murray State at -4 and Creighton at +1.5 I also put some money on the playin games and FSU at -7 and Loyola Maryland at +17.5. Also got 5 bucks on Murray State and Florida State to win it all just cause I really liked their odds.
Mulva
Posts: 13,650
Mar 12, 2012 7:51pm
That's maybe the toughest pick for me, because I think Belmont is better than San Diego State/NC State. It's either knock them out in round 1, or seriously consider putting them all the way into the elite 8.gorocks99;1113802 wrote:Struggling on picking the Bruins over G'town though .. got burned on them last year when I picked them over Wisconsin.
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khujo
Posts: 111
Mar 13, 2012 2:35pm
Did you put these in online? If so what site and how are you depositing?Iliketurtles;1114027 wrote:Belmont is down to a +4 already lol. Xavier is down to a +2.5 as well.
I put a lot of money on Murray State at -4 and Creighton at +1.5 I also put some money on the playin games and FSU at -7 and Loyola Maryland at +17.5. Also got 5 bucks on Murray State and Florida State to win it all just cause I really liked their odds.
I've been having a hell of a time trying to get deposits to go through on the 2 sites I normally use. Trying to make me do some run around process with a 3rd party that costs like 20% of my deposit.
killer_ewok
Posts: 11,379
Mar 13, 2012 2:55pm
Cleveland Buck;1113773 wrote:1. Kentucky 19.5% 1 in 5
2. Ohio State 18.7% 1 in 5
3. Michigan State 12.2% 1 in 8
4. North Carolina 9.3% 1 in 11
5. Kansas 8.6% 1 in 12
6. Missouri 5.2% 1 in 19
7. Syracuse 4.3% 1 in 23
8. Wisconsin 4.0% 1 in 25
9. Wichita State 2.5% 1 in 40
10. Indiana 1.7% 1 in 60
Syracuse's chances just got a lot worse.
bases_loaded
Posts: 6,912
Mar 15, 2012 10:00am
betus.com pm me your email and ill get you a deposit bonuskhujo;1114852 wrote:Did you put these in online? If so what site and how are you depositing?
I've been having a hell of a time trying to get deposits to go through on the 2 sites I normally use. Trying to make me do some run around process with a 3rd party that costs like 20% of my deposit.
Laley23
Posts: 29,506
Mar 15, 2012 10:09am
Im thinking about putting some serious money on Detroit vs Kansas. Detroit is +14.5 and it has already falled from +15.5. Wanna get it in before its down to like +12!
Wooball
Posts: 1,325
Mar 15, 2012 10:37am
Syracuse at just -15 for their opener against UNC Ashville? I know Melo is out, but shouldn't they still roll in this first game?
bases_loaded
Posts: 6,912
Mar 16, 2012 8:07am
Went 5-1-1 yesterday....not really sure where to go today though.
Laley23
Posts: 29,506
Mar 16, 2012 10:34am
Ended up taking Detroit +13.5
Azubuike24
Posts: 15,933
Mar 17, 2012 1:24am
Liking the underdogs tomorrow...a lot.
K-State +5
Gonzaga +8
Murray State +6
VCU +6
New Mexico +1
K-State +5
Gonzaga +8
Murray State +6
VCU +6
New Mexico +1
Mulva
Posts: 13,650
Mar 17, 2012 1:32am
I'm not really confident about any of the spreads tomorrow. I'd lean towards VCU at +6, but nowhere near confident enough to place a bet on it. I like the under 140 for UK - ISU a little bit too.
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Big Gain
Posts: 2,073
Mar 17, 2012 1:54am
Sagarin's computer analysis after 64,000,000 permutations turns out to mirror the Vegas line. Kentucky 5-1 Ohio State 6-1.ytownfootball;1113797 wrote:Yeah saw that UK is at 5-2 and Ohio State is at 6-1. The Vegas love for Ohio State really surprised me.
http://content.usatoday.com/communities/campusrivalry/post/2012/03/kentucky-ncaa-title-jeff-sagarin-simulation/1#.T15UDnmwctB
DeyDurkie5
Posts: 11,324
Mar 17, 2012 2:06am
I took michigan state to win the whole thing at 60-1 a couple months back. I'm loving it.
Iliketurtles
Posts: 8,191
Mar 17, 2012 10:40am
I had a huge weekend I'm up about 200 already lol.
I put 30 on KSU over cuse straight up and 50 on Murray State straight up. Then I put 10 bucks on a lot of the overs for todays games(anyone else feel like the O/U are low for todays games). I also put 20 on Murray State at +6 and 20 on KSU +5. Hoping for another huge day today haha.
Durkie that would be fucking sweet if you won how much did you put on it?
I put 30 on KSU over cuse straight up and 50 on Murray State straight up. Then I put 10 bucks on a lot of the overs for todays games(anyone else feel like the O/U are low for todays games). I also put 20 on Murray State at +6 and 20 on KSU +5. Hoping for another huge day today haha.
Durkie that would be fucking sweet if you won how much did you put on it?
ts1227
Posts: 12,319
Mar 17, 2012 11:02am
USF opens as a 4 point favorite on Ohio
Under 114, no fucking way.
Under 114, no fucking way.
Iliketurtles
Posts: 8,191
Mar 17, 2012 12:33pm
LOL I just put 50 on the over. I put 25 on Ohio straight up and 25 on them at +4.ts1227;1119365 wrote:USF opens as a 4 point favorite on Ohio
Under 114, no fucking way.