revgat;843695 wrote:Some of those economists that are doubling down do have a point. They called for a larger stimulus from the beginning. Not saying that they are correct, just that they have a point.
One of the main problems with "stimulus" packages is that they are extremely temporary when compared to the business cycle. Business needs some sort of certainty in order to make outlays for 5 and 10 year plans. When Bush pushed through his tax cuts in 2001-2003, they were made for 10 years in order to provide such certainty to business. One year or two year mega-billion spending packages expire too quickly to allow businesses to acclimate to them. Thank goodness the Krugman socialists didn't get their way or we'd be another trillion in debt. In other words, business cannot rely on short term "solutions" and will hoard cash until they become certain of what will be in 5 to 10 years. I know we have become an "instant-gratification" society, however that does not translate to business plans, product development, and new services.
It might surprise the socialist community that these outlays can run into the billions in some industries (pharma, autos, and energy for example). These equate to R & D innovations, new technologies, better productivity, and...ahem....more jobs. Ya'll have denigrated this into a mantra of "trickle down economics", but that's how industry works. Changing the rules of taxation/subsidies/payoffs with one or two-time packages does NOT pursuade business to invest billions in creation of new products or services. All the stimulus serves to do is mask problems, provide a bit of a "sugar high", and kick the can down the road. Keynesians say in order to start a fire, you need a spark. The problem with this is they are trying to spark a fire in a hurricane and it gets doused before it ever takes hold.