I feel like Arizona is worthy of a 2 seed because they won the PAC12 regular season and conference tournament, plus they are 27-7. The problem is that their SOS is pretty low because the PAC12 is terrible. Lunardi thinks they're as a 4 because of it. That same thing is hurting MSU. At 29-4, they would normally be a #1 seed, but it looks like they might be a 3 because the Big Ten is top heavy.
My guess is this...
#1 - Virginia, Villanova, Kansas, Xavier
#2 - Purdue, Duke, North Carolina, Cincinnati
#3 - Michigan State, Auburn, Michigan, Tennessee
#4 - Arizona, Gonzaga, West Virginia, Texas Tech
I think I basically have the same thing as Lunardi, other than the fact that he has Wichita as 4 instead of the Zags. I think the four teams most likely to win the tournament, though, are Virginia, Nova, MSU, and Arizona. Duke and Kansas are probably right there too, and Michigan looks tough right now. Gonna be a crazy tournament, I think.