Impressed by the Trump administration part II

There are a ton of R retirements lately. Do they see the writing on the wall? The party that takes the Presidency always loses the majority in Congress in the midterm. Been that way for over a hundred year, with FDR in 1934 and Bush in 2002 being the only exceptions. 

posted by ptown_trojans_1

Ehh, at least they didn't yell, "you lie"...

To be fair, that was a SCOTUS judge, not a republican Congressman.

Trey says he is heading back to the judicial system; I am sure he can do a lot better in private practice. 

Good guy.

posted by jmog

Youu may want to rephrase that.

 

They don't necessarily lose the majority, they do however lose some SEATS. Many times this does mean losing the majority, but not always. There were definitely times the side that won the POTUS election stayed in control, they just lost some seats.

True, but in modern times, the party that controls both branches, has lost at least one House, either House or Senate. Reagan 82, Clinton 94, Bush 06, Obama 2010. 

I guess the point is, the American public does not like to see one party hold all the power. It usually swings back. 

Perhaps a lot of the R's see those polling numbers and say time to cash out. 

Are those the same polling numbers that had Clinton a slam dunk winner? 

It is a long way off, but I don't sense anything remotely close to a dem takover.  

posted by jmog

To be fair, that was a SCOTUS judge, not a republican Congressman.

Judge Alito not true Joe wilson you lie.

posted by QuakerOats

Are those the same polling numbers that had Clinton a slam dunk winner? 

 

It is a long way off, but I don't sense anything remotely close to a dem takover.  

Who gives a fuck what you sense. You were so  sure that Romney would win that you bet 2 Kool that if he lost that you would get a vasectomy and you filched on the wager. Then   you continued to guarantee that the nation would be destroyed by the socialist policies the the Obama administration was shoving down our throats. I'm suprised you can say anything with the little handed Trump cock in your mouth.

posted by ptown_trojans_1

True, but in modern times, the party that controls both branches, has lost at least one House, either House or Senate. Reagan 82, Clinton 94, Bush 06, Obama 2010. 

I guess the point is, the American public does not like to see one party hold all the power. It usually swings back. 

Perhaps a lot of the R's see those polling numbers and say time to cash out. 

Normally I would agree, but here's the reality of 2018 elections.

The HOR there is currently a 55 seat majority. There are reallistically about 48 seats "up for grabs" (lean D, lean R, and close to call). 9 of those lean D, 20 lean R, and 19 are close.

31 of those 48 would have to go D to flip the HoR. The Ds would have to win all of their "leans", win all of the "toss ups", and steal a couple Rs. I don't see that happening even though I see the Rs losing some seats.

I would possibly expect the Senate to flip being that it is currently 51/49. However, the Ds have 26 seats up for grabs and the Rs only 8 seats up for grabs. 17 of the 26 Ds are safely D, 6 of the 8 Rs are safely R. So with only toss ups left the Rs hold a 49/40 lead. The Ds would have to win all 11 toss ups to take over the Senate.

I think the Rs lose seats in the HoR but retain control, but gain a seat or 2 in the Senate ONLY due to what breakdown of seats are up for vote in the Senate.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5334815/American-people-turning-against-Trump-hating-celebrities.html

Gotta think there’s probably more to gowdy leaving congress than just to make more money in private practice. 

posted by SportsAndLady

Gotta think there’s probably more to gowdy leaving congress than just to make more money in private practice. 

Liberal heads will explode [again] if he's the new AG.  Sessions has been rumored to be fired for months (although pretty much everyone around Trump is rumored to be fired at some point).

I would take Gowdy over Sessions in a heartbeat. I hope that's the reason he's leaving congress.

posted by justincredible

I would take Gowdy over Sessions in a heartbeat. I hope that's the reason he's leaving congress.

Same here. I actually like Gowdy anyway, so we'll see.

Wild Theory:

What if Trump doesn't release the memo, no matter how damming it can possibly be? The memo, IMO, could be used as a fantastic crowbar.

posted by CenterBHSFan

Wild Theory:

What if Trump doesn't release the memo, no matter how damming it can possibly be? The memo, IMO, could be used as a fantastic crowbar.

The white house already stated they want to release it as soon as possible.  

posted by justincredible

I would take Gowdy over Sessions in a heartbeat. I hope that's the reason he's leaving congress.

That or maybe he's the token throwback to the days where most everyone belived that public service was something you did for a limited time, then returned to your actual vocation.

posted by justincredible

I would take Gowdy over Sessions in a heartbeat. I hope that's the reason he's leaving congress.

This. Sessions is pure trash.

posted by CenterBHSFan

Wild Theory:

What if Trump doesn't release the memo, no matter how damming it can possibly be? The memo, IMO, could be used as a fantastic crowbar.

there is no way he cant release it.  If he wouldnt the left and the media would throw a fit and say it proves that he colluded with Russia.

posted by like_that

The white house already stated they want to release it as soon as possible.  

True. But I just can't take their words as fact until I see action.

posted by Spock

there is no way he cant release it.  If he wouldnt the left and the media would throw a fit and say it proves that he colluded with Russia.

See above.