2018 mid-term election

THis seat is going to be held till november and it will be up again.......lets not get excited about running DC from this one night.

posted by Said

Are you talking about the Dems or the Repubs?   If anyone has gone full retard, it's the party and people who support this guy.  A child molester lost in Alabama and yes, it's very well possible it'll be back to a GOP seat here in a few years, but to all those people who voted Dem this time around, having an adulterer and sexual assaulter running the country is OK?    

Trump firing Tillerson over Twitter shows what type of person he truly is.  

Said, you have been posting on 50000 usernames long enough to know I think  both parties are a pile of shit.  That being said the dems have gone full retard with their regressive identity politics bullshit and embracing socialism.   Regardless, my point stands, Doug Jones is a horrible argument for the case you were trying to make.  Quit recycling what occupy democrats tells you. 

posted by like_that

Quit recycling what occupy democrats tells you. 

I'll have to check them out.  Most of my material comes from MSNBC.

posted by like_that

 

Dems will gain seats, just because history says so, but to think Doug Jones going up against a child molester is a good indication is idiotic at best.  That seat will flip back to a republican easily in 2020.  Book it.

And they can't pour the same amount of money into these contests when you have 180 seats up natrionwide in the House and Senate.

Pull out all the big guns so they can say "see, look Trump is being repudiated".  After losing the first handful of contests, they've finally won a couple.

posted by QuakerOats

Certainly not a harbinger of any sort.  Lamb ran a good campaign, and is a military guy who is pro life and pro gun, supposedly; sort of like voting for a republican. 

Sounds like he might actually be more Republican than Trump

I don't think it's a good idea to retaliate when either party gets rightly criticized and/or mocked. You can't take it personally. Well, I guess if you're a spokesperson for a political party you probably will take things personally. But none of us are in that position.

The guy basically ran as a Republican (and ran a solid campaign) against a guy who ran like he didn’t even really want the job. 

Not sure why anyone with a modicum of political acumen would be surprised. 

posted by fish82

The guy basically ran as a Republican (and ran a solid campaign) against a guy who ran like he didn’t even really want the job. 

Not sure why anyone with a modicum of political acumen would be surprised. 

Gonna have to disagree. The guy ran as a likeable, normal Midwestern Democrat the likes of which were all erased from Congress and state legislatures after the Tea Party Walloping and re-districting in 2010. His "Priorities" on his website for example were all traditional "big government" policy/economics Dem priorities and he avoided or moderated the Dem Killer Issues e.g. Climate Change, Abortion, Guns, Immigration. 

posted by BoatShoes

Gonna have to disagree. The guy ran as a likeable, normal Midwestern Democrat the likes of which were all erased from Congress and state legislatures after the Tea Party Walloping and re-districting in 2010. His "Priorities" on his website for example were all traditional "big government" policy/economics Dem priorities and he avoided or moderated the Dem Killer Issues e.g. Climate Change, Abortion, Guns, Immigration. 

So when Pelosi and Shumar walk in to his office and demand a partisan vote he is going to laugh at them?  I think not.

Even though he disavowed Pelosi in his campaign, he will cave and circle the wagons like all dems always do.

https://pjmedia.com/trending/48-hours-later-media-still-keeps-dems-total-collapse-in-reuters-poll-a-secret/

Imagine that

posted by QuakerOats

https://pjmedia.com/trending/48-hours-later-media-still-keeps-dems-total-collapse-in-reuters-poll-a-secret/

 

Imagine that

It's only one poll, but I noticed that as well.  That's an interesting poll. It went from Dems +16 in feb, +6 in March, +3 in April, and now it's +6.  WTF?

The average of all the polls have shrunk to +3 dems.  The dems should keep letting socialists win their primaries, run on tux hikes, gun control, and defending MS-13.  Any scenario where the GOP keeps the house is a win for them.

posted by like_that

It's only one poll, but I noticed that as well.  That's an interesting poll. It went from Dems +16 in feb, +6 in March, +3 in April, and now it's +6.  WTF?

The average of all the polls have shrunk to +3 dems.  The dems should keep letting socialists win their primaries, run on tux hikes, gun control, and defending MS-13.  Any scenario where the GOP keeps the house is a win for them.

I think the GOP loses some seats int he house but keeps both the HoR and the Senate. 

Hard to predict 2020 for Congress and POTUS this far out, but 2018 is sounding less and less like the #BlueWave the left was predicting.

I am going with the "if the POTUS election was tomorrow"......Trump would win by a landslide.

posted by Spock

I am going with the "if the POTUS election was tomorrow"......Trump would win by a landslide.

This thread has nothing to do with the presidential election...

posted by like_that

This thread has nothing to do with the presidential election...

LOL. Yeah I was wondering about that.

I've seen the generic ballots for the Ds tick down, but I think the closer we get to November, the more we will see House races tighten up. My guess is the Ds take the House, barely, and the Rs narrowly hold the Senate. One of the R state D Senators goes down and that seals it for the Rs in the Senate. 

Local to me in Maryland, I see Governor Hogan (R) cruising to victory in this very blue state.

posted by ptown_trojans_1

My guess is the Ds take the House, barely, and the Rs narrowly hold the Senate. One of the R state D Senators goes down and that seals it for the Rs in the Senate. 

You are very optimistic.  I've seen Repubs could pick-up as many as 7 seats in the Senate, and Democrats need a 7-pt advantage on the generic ballot to take the House (which is far from a detailed enough number, but I've seen it reported several times on left-leaning sites).

posted by gut

You are very optimistic.  I've seen Repubs could pick-up as many as 7 seats in the Senate, and Democrats need a 7-pt advantage on the generic ballot to take the House (which is far from a detailed enough number, but I've seen it reported several times on left-leaning sites).

Yeah, I think it is a combination of Rs retiring plus all the women Ds running that have had good polling numbers in districts that are suddenly competitive. 

I said barely for the Ds, so maybe by 1-2 seats. 

posted by ptown_trojans_1

LOL. Yeah I was wondering about that.

I've seen the generic ballots for the Ds tick down, but I think the closer we get to November, the more we will see House races tighten up. My guess is the Ds take the House, barely, and the Rs narrowly hold the Senate. One of the R state D Senators goes down and that seals it for the Rs in the Senate. 

Local to me in Maryland, I see Governor Hogan (R) cruising to victory in this very blue state.

 

 

The fact that it is a coin flip now says a lot IMO.  Like i said the Rs keeping the house in any way is a win.  I called it shortly after the presidential election, that the DNC will have their own "tea party" movement with the socialists.  Just like the tea party, I can see the Ds losing elections they otherwise would have won with a "regular" candidate.

Also, everyone is taking about the enthusiasm from dem voters, but a hardly reported fact is the Rs are coming out to vote in these primaries too.  I saw where in Ohio there was a 40% increase from 2014 for voter turnout for the R primary.  West VA had similar numbers. 

Lots of time to go, but I hope the dems keep defending Hamas, MS-13, talk about guns. 

posted by like_that

The fact that it is a coin flip now says a lot IMO.  Like i said the Rs keeping the house in any way is a win.  I called it shortly after the presidential election, that the DNC will have their own "tea party" movement with the socialists.  Just like the tea party, I can see the Ds losing elections they otherwise would have won with a "regular" candidate.

 

Lots of time to go, but I hope the dems keep defending Hamas, MS-13, talk about guns. 

That tea party wave took over the House though...